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Jacoby by decision is the official pick but there are better fights to target this week with a full slate on DraftKings. I expect Jacoby to keep the fight standing and out volume Allan easily.
But I would be surprised if he can even land takedowns against Jacoby let alone control him on the mat. However, he does try to mix in the takedowns, which could be a path to victory for him here. Allan is primarily a striker with nine of his 13 career wins coming by knockout. He had previously beat Mike Rodriguez in his UFC debut but failed a drug test and the fight was overturned afterward. He is a technical kickboxer with good cardio, which makes for a difficult matchup unless you can take him down repeatedly and control him, which is much harder than it looks (just ask Ion Cutelaba).Īllan is coming off a split-decision loss to Roman Dolidze in December of last year. Jacoby is coming off a first-round knockout victory over Darren Stewart and has yet to taste defeat over his last six bouts. This was originally supposed to be Aleksa Camur, but he pulled out of the fight and Jacoby is stepping up on short notice to replace him. John AllanĬamur, -365 Allan, +280, DraftKings Sportsbook Baghdasaryan by knockout is the official pick. I expect Baghdasaryan to be landing early and often and he is dangerous enough to find a finish in the first round. Souza seems to be well-rounded and has decent cardio, but he is going to be at a massive disadvantage while the fight plays out on the feet, and he is not an aggressive wrestler that can wear on Baghdasaryan and drag him to deeper waters while testing his grappling. Souza is also making his UFC debut and is coming off a decision victory over Javier Garcia in August, which earned him the featherweight title over in LFA. The main concern with Baghdasaryan is he does slow down in fights if he is pushed to the later rounds, which tends to be a theme with Glendale Fighting Club and his grappling is a bit of a question mark as well. He is very technical and extremely dangerous with his kicking game. He is one of the better strikers making their UFC debut in recent memory as he comes from a high-level kickboxing background.
He is 6-1 with five of his six career wins coming by knockout.
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Bruno Souzaīaghdasaryan, -275 Souza, +210, DraftKings Sportsbookīaghdasaryan is another Dana White’s Contender Series product as he earned his contract with a knockout victory over Collin Anglin in July. Osbourne by knockout is the official pick. I expect this to be a high-paced fight and the winner should score well, but I am siding with Osbourne who is more explosive and more tested at this level and likely lands a big shot early in this one.
However, my main issue with Vergara is that he is extremely hittable on the feet, and if he continues to eat punches clean like that at the UFC level then he likely will not last long in the promotion. Six of his nine career wins have come by knockout, and he carries power throughout the fight and seems to be semi-well rounded. Vergara is coming off a huge knockout win on Dana White’s Contender Series in September and is making his UFC debut. He is typically a finish or be finished style of fighter as he is all action from the opening bell. In fact, he has not seen the second round over his last eight fights since 2016. He is 1-2 in the UFC with all three fights ending inside the first round. Osbourne is coming off the first-round knockout loss to Manel Kape his last time out in August. Osbourne, -180 Vergara, +155, DraftKings Sportsbook